The administration's fiscal triumph would be easier to appreciate if its chosen indicators would stop expressing opinions.
Treasury secretary Scott Bessent identified the ten-year Treasury yield as a measure of his success. Reuters now reports that borrowing costs have continued upward. There is something almost moving about an administration selecting its own examination question and then discovering that the examiner intends to mark it.
The larger results are hardly suitable for the commemorative brochure. The fiscal year ending September 30 produced a deficit of roughly $2 trillion, twelve percent larger than the previous year's. The government's answer is that economic expansion will eventually relieve the pressure. Prosperity has been assigned the difficult work. Officials have retained the announcing work, which is less physically demanding and comes with a lectern.
Growth matters. It would be absurd to pretend otherwise. It is equally absurd to treat an anticipated improvement as a completed accomplishment while the actual figures wait outside, dressed in their inconvenient little minus signs.
Then there is the tariff revenue. Reuters reports that the government had to refund $145 billion after the Supreme Court struck down many of Trump's tariffs, wiping out much of the additional revenue they had raised. A revenue strategy whose proceeds must be returned has encountered more than a messaging problem. The money has declined the invitation to participate.
None of this establishes that investors are fleeing American debt. Reuters explicitly reports that analysts do not see alarming increases in the premium associated with American credit risk, and that borrowing costs are rising internationally. A default is considered highly unlikely. The criticism need not hire an imaginary catastrophe to make the real performance look worse. The real performance arrived fully qualified.
What deserves contempt is the distribution of seriousness. When public spending would repair something people need, politicians discover a magnificent capacity for caution. We have already seen how authorizing disaster aid can leave the actual home missing. When the administration's own economic promises require scrutiny, however, everyone is asked to admire the horizon. The future is apparently the only department permitted to run without an audit.
Meanwhile, Reuters puts the recent thirty-year mortgage rate at 7.40 percent. That is not a verdict on one official's personal responsibility for global markets. It is a reminder that the selected performance indicator has an audience beyond the selected performer. The competition for capital around the AI boom does not become cheaper because Washington has announced that growth will handle it.
By all means, defend the choices. Explain the tradeoffs. But a government that insists on being celebrated as a financial disciplinarian should submit to the discipline of its own comparison. Bessent chose the yield. The yield has responded. It would be graceless to revoke its speaking privileges now.


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